Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

HEAD TO HEAD

A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

Flag BLR BLR

w
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
Daria Kasatkina
Daria Kasatkina

Flag AUS AUS

w
l
w
l
l
w
w
l
l
l

7

Win

9

Played

2

Win

27
Age
28
1.82m
Height
1.70m
1
C. Rank
37
1
Best Rank
8
21
Total Titles
8
4
YTD Titles
0
$36.5M
Career Money
$10.2M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Sabalenka 7 - 2 Kasatkina

They have played 19 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 15 and Daria Kasatkina winning 4. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 20-06-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Sabalenka7
Kasatkina2
Last 9 H2H Matches:

(R2Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin(06-20-24)

Grass
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
AUS Flag
Daria Kasatkina
1
4

(QFBrisbane International - Brisbane(01-05-24)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
AUS Flag
Daria Kasatkina
1
4

(R4U.S. Open - New York(09-04-23)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
AUS Flag
Daria Kasatkina
1
3

A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina H2H Profile

Stats
$36,531,203Career Prize Money$10,172,432
70.78% (487-201)Career Total W/L62.83% (404-239)
2Clay0
1Grass0
4Hard2
27Titles15
7Total H2H Matches2
84.00% (63-12)YTD Win/Loss46.34% (19-22)
4YTD Titles0

A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina Match Preview:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Aryna Sabalenka has won 41.13% of points on their second serve, while Daria Kasatkina has won 36.31%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Aryna Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 46.68% of their opponent's second serve points, while Daria Kasatkina has won 53.80%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.71% and 34.95% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Aryna Sabalenka has saved 51.72% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Daria Kasatkina has saved 45.08% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Aryna Sabalenka has won 84.00% of matches played (W/L 63/12), with Daria Kasatkina winning 46.34% (W/L 19/22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 296/104), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 64% (W/L 45/25). Daria Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 74% (W/L 136/60), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 184/135).
  • Player level: In the last year, Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 81.58% of matches (W/L 31/7), where as Daria Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 35.71% of matches (W/L 5/9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 9 times before with Aryna Sabalenka winning 7 times and Daria Kasatkina being victorious 2 times. They have played 19 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 15 and Daria Kasatkina winning 4.
  • The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina was at the Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin, 20-06-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-1 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:30:28.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Aryna Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 49 while Daria Kasatkina has played against players with an average rank of 75.73.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Aryna Sabalenka has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Daria Kasatkina has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Aryna Sabalenka has converted 33.48% of breakpoint opportunities, and Daria Kasatkina has converted 40.94% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
7H2H Matches Won2
15Sets Won4
107Games Won71
30Aces (Total)10
50Total Double Faults41
1:30:28Average Match Time1:30:28
57% (324/572)1st Serve %68% (414/610)
68% (220/324)1st Serve Win %55% (226/414)
47% (117/248)2nd Serve Win %39% (76/196)
52% (45/86)Break Pts Won %42% (28/66)
50% (308/610)Return Points Win %41% (235/572)
78% (7/9)Best‑of‑3 Win %22% (2/9)
0% (0/1)Deciding Set Win %100% (1/1)
88% (7/8)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (1/1)
13% (1/8)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)1st Set Lost, Won Match13% (1/8)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Sabalenka 51%, Kasatkina 42%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Sabalenka 59%, Kasatkina 59%.
Break Points Saved %: Sabalenka 65%, Kasatkina 52%.

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardWTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025

F

KAZE. Rybakina
L
6-3 7-6(0)

SF

USAA. Anisimova
W
6-3 3-6 6-3

Robin

USAC. Gauff
W
7-6(5) 6-2

Robin

USAJ. Pegula
W
6-4 2-6 6-3

Robin

ITAJ. Paolini
W
6-3 6-1

D. Kasatkina Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardChina Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025

R2

GBRS. Kartal
L
6-3 6-0
HardKorea Open - Seoul - 15-09-2025

R2

CZEK. Siniakova
L
7-6(2) 6-2
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

R3

JPNN. Osaka
L
6-0 4-6 6-3

R2

RUSK. Rakhimova
W
6-2 4-6 7-5

R1

ROUE. Gabriela
W
7-5 6-1
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A. Sabalenka vs D. Kasatkina Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
70.78% (487/201)YTD Win/Loss62.83% (404/239)
66.60% (1075/539)Sets Win/Loss59.13% (884/611)
56.17% (8480/6618)Games Win/Loss53.81% (7349/6309)
74.00% (296/104)Hard Win/Loss57.68% (184/135)
66.67% (100/50)Clay Win/Loss69.39% (136/60)
65.79% (50/26)Indoor Hard W/L68.12% (47/22)
66.13% (41/21)Grass Win/Loss62.71% (37/22)
0.39Aces Per Game0.13
2856Aces Total855
0.39Double Faults Per Game0.34
2867Total Double Faults2255
1st MatchAverage Match Time1:25:54
286.56Average Opponent Rank301.84
61% (27907/46123)1st Serve %68% (26500/39180)
69% (19218/27907)1st Serve Win %61% (16085/26500)
47% (8619/18205)2nd Serve Win %43% (5452/12676)
47% (2590/5538)Break Points Won % (Total)49% (2651/5407)
45% (20595/45860)Return Points Win %48% (18937/39864)
77.78% (105/30)Slam W/L61.54% (64/40)
71.16% (153/62)Masters W/L52.25% (93/85)
62.50% (10/6)Cups W/L83.33% (5/1)
67.93% (125/59)Main Tour W/L64.21% (174/97)
64.89% (61/33)Challenger W/L79.41% (54/14)
75.00% (33/11)Futures W/L87.50% (14/2)
71% (484/684)Best of 3 Sets Win %63% (397/634)
100% (1/1)Best of 5 Sets Win %100% (1/1)
61% (112/183)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)49% (56/114)
57% (137/241)Deciding Set Win %61% (134/218)
89% (464/414)1st Set Won, Won Match91% (360/327)
11% (464/49)1st Set Won, Lost Match9% (360/32)
32% (224/72)1st Set Lost, Won Match27% (282/75)

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